How diversification cuts portfolio risk
Portfolio risk falls as holdings are added, but only down to a floor set by how much those holdings move together. On the illustrative default, 8 equally weighted holdings each 30 percent volatile with a pairwise correlation of 0.3, risk falls from 30 percent to 18.67 percent and cannot get below 16.43 percent.
Risk of 8 equally weighted holdings
18.67%
One holding alone carries 30%. A correlation of 0.30 leaves a floor of 16.43% that no number of holdings removes.
- One holding on its own
- 30.00%
- Portfolio of 8
- 18.67%
- Floor set by correlation
- 16.43%
- Of the removable risk, gone
- 83%
In short
- Drag the dot on the curve to change the number of holdings from one to fifty.
- Drag the dashed line up or down, anywhere along its length, to change how closely the holdings move together.
- Read the shaded wedge above the dashed line: that is the risk more holdings can still remove.
- Set the correlation to zero to see the one case where the floor sits on the axis.
What the curve shows
The line is the yearly standard deviation of an equally weighted portfolio as holdings are added, one to fifty. Every holding is 30 percent volatile on its own, an illustrative figure held fixed, and every pair moves together by the correlation you set.
The term is the risk each holding carries alone, and it shrinks as grows. The term is the risk they all share, and it does not shrink at all. Set the correlation to zero and the floor drops onto the axis, so the line keeps falling with every holding added instead of levelling off. Set it to one and the line is flat, because fifty holdings then behave as one.
Why the floor is there
The dashed line sits at , the level the curve approaches and never crosses. Below it is systematic risk, the part every holding is exposed to at the same time. The gap above it is the unsystematic risk still left in the portfolio, the part specific to each holding, which cancels out as holdings are added. The split is exact in variance rather than in standard deviation: total variance is shared plus specific, and the chart plots the square root of the two together.
Most of the work happens early. At a correlation of 0.3, the first eight holdings remove about 83 percent of the part that can be removed, and twenty holdings remove about 93 percent. The fiftieth holding removes almost nothing, because by then the specific risk is nearly gone and only the shared risk is left.
What the model assumes
Equal weights, one volatility for every holding, and one correlation for every pair. The 30 percent volatility is an illustrative teaching figure chosen so the curve reads clearly, not a measurement of any holding. Real portfolios match none of those assumptions exactly, and the shape survives all of them: risk drops quickly at first, then flattens onto a floor set by how much the holdings share.
The reading on the axis is a standard deviation of returns, so it measures spread rather than loss. Adding holdings also does nothing to the expected return, which stays the weighted average of what you hold. Diversification changes the width of the range of outcomes, not its centre.
Common questions
How many holdings does it take?
Most of the removable risk goes early. At a correlation of 0.3, eight equally weighted holdings remove about 83 percent of it and twenty remove about 93 percent, after which the curve is close to flat. What is left is the shared risk, and the count of holdings does not touch it.
Can diversification remove all of the risk?
No. At any correlation above zero the floor is the single-holding volatility multiplied by the square root of the correlation, and no number of holdings gets under it. At a correlation of exactly zero the floor sits on the axis, so risk falls as one over the square root of the number of holdings and keeps shrinking with every holding added, but it still does not reach zero at any finite count. Fifty holdings at 30 percent volatility and zero correlation still carry 4.24 percent.
Does a correlation of one mean diversification does nothing?
For risk, yes. At a correlation of one the formula collapses to the single-holding volatility at every count, so the line is flat and fifty holdings carry the risk of one. That is the case where everything held is exposed to the same thing at the same time.
Keep reading
This page is educational material, not financial advice. The figures come from the formula shown and assume the inputs you enter hold for the whole term. Your own rate, fees, taxes and timing will differ, so treat the output as arithmetic to check a decision against, not as a recommendation.