How the CAPM formula works
By Jude Wallis
CAPM estimates a required return by adding a risk-free rate to beta times the market risk premium. Beta says how strongly an asset's returns tend to move with the market. The formula prices systematic risk, the part diversification does not remove.
Unlevered beta
0.8727
Hamada factor 1.375. Relevered at the same D/E is 1.20.
- Equity beta
- 1.20
- 1 + (1 minus t) times D/E
- 1.3750
- Asset beta
- 0.8727
The levered beta. How the share moves with the market.
D/E, not debt over total capital. 0.5 means fifty cents of debt per dollar of equity.
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Sharpe ratioIn short
- CAPM expected return equals the risk-free rate plus beta multiplied by the market return minus the risk-free rate.
- The market risk premium is the extra return expected from the market above the risk-free asset, not the market return by itself.
- Beta measures sensitivity to market movements: a beta above one magnifies the premium in the formula, while a beta below one reduces it.
- CAPM is a required-return model for systematic risk, so it does not add compensation for company-specific risk that diversification can remove.
The formula has a base rate and a risk charge
The capital asset pricing model, usually shortened to CAPM, writes expected or required return as
is the risk-free rate. is the market risk premium. is the asset's beta, which scales that premium. The result is the return the model associates with bearing the asset's market risk.
The formula has a clear sequence. Begin with the return available without market exposure. Find the extra return expected from the market. Multiply that premium by the asset's sensitivity to market moves. Then add the base rate back.
With a 4 percent risk-free rate and 10 percent expected market return, the market premium is 6 percentage points. A beta of 1.2 turns that into 7.2 points of risk compensation, and adding the 4 percent base gives 11.2 percent.
Beta controls the slope
Beta is the slope from relating an asset's excess returns to the market's excess returns. A beta of one means the asset receives the full market premium in CAPM. A beta of 1.2 receives 1.2 times that premium. A beta of 0.8 receives 0.8 times it.
That is sensitivity, not a statement that the asset rises in every rising market or falls in every falling one. The fitted relationship has residuals, and those company-specific moves are not captured by beta. Beta can also change when the business mix, financing or estimation window changes.
Debt affects an equity beta because fixed claims make the remaining equity more sensitive to operating outcomes. How unlevered beta works separates the business sensitivity from the financing effect. The unlever beta calculator performs that conversion.
Why only systematic risk is priced
CAPM assumes investors can hold broad portfolios. In a diversified portfolio, company-specific surprises offset one another, so the model does not pay an extra expected return for bearing a risk that can be removed by spreading holdings. The risk left across a broad portfolio is systematic risk, exposure to market-wide changes.
Beta is the model's measure of that remaining exposure. The expected return line therefore rises with beta, not with total volatility. An asset can be very volatile because of company-specific events and still have a modest beta if those events have little relationship with market moves.
Risk and return places that distinction beside diversification. CAPM turns it into a pricing statement: only the covariance with the market earns the model's risk premium.
Choosing inputs changes the answer
Each CAPM input is an estimate. The risk-free rate should match the currency and horizon of the cash flows being valued. A short bill rate and a long government bond yield answer different timing questions. The market premium can come from a historical average, a forward-looking valuation or a published assumption, and those methods need not agree.
Beta depends on the market benchmark, return frequency and estimation window. Thin trading can depress a measured beta, while one unusual period can pull it sharply. For a private company or a new listing, analysts often begin with comparable listed companies, remove their financing effects, average the business betas and then apply the target company's financing.
Consistency matters more than false precision. A long-horizon premium should sit beside a horizon-appropriate risk-free rate, and a beta estimated against one market should not casually multiply the premium of another.
Required return is not a promised return
CAPM is commonly used as a cost of equity in valuation. The output becomes the rate used to discount uncertain equity cash flows, or one component of a wider company discount rate. A higher beta raises the required rate and, with the same projected cash flows, lowers their present value.
The model result is conditional on its inputs and assumptions. It does not predict the next realised return. A stock with an 11.2 percent CAPM estimate can gain more, gain less or lose value over the period. The number is the return required by this model for the stated beta and market premium.
Read the formula as a disciplined decomposition: base rate, market premium, sensitivity. Keep the input source and date beside the result so the calculation can be reproduced. This is educational material, not financial advice.
Worked examples
CAPM with beta above one
The risk-free rate is 4 percent, beta is 1.2 and the expected market return is 10 percent. What return does CAPM estimate?
- Find the market premium: percentage points.
- Scale the 6 point premium by beta 1.2: percentage points.
- Add the 4 percent risk-free rate: percent.
With a 4 percent risk-free rate, beta of 1.2 and 10 percent market return, the premium is 6 percentage points and CAPM gives an expected return of 11.2 percent.
CAPM with beta below one
Keep the risk-free rate at 4 percent and expected market return at 10 percent, but use a beta of 0.8. What return does CAPM estimate?
- The market premium remains percentage points.
- Scale the 6 point premium by beta 0.8: percentage points.
- Add the 4 percent risk-free rate: percent.
With a 4 percent risk-free rate, beta of 0.8 and 10 percent market return, the premium is 6 percentage points and CAPM gives an expected return of 8.8 percent.
Common questions
Is CAPM expected return a forecast?
It is better read as a model-implied required return for the stated inputs. Realised return can differ widely. The formula is often used as a discount rate in valuation, where it represents the compensation assumed for bearing systematic equity risk.
Why is the risk-free rate added twice in some mistaken calculations?
It should not be. First subtract the risk-free rate from expected market return to form the market premium. Multiply that difference by beta, then add the risk-free rate once as the base return.
Does a higher beta always mean a higher CAPM return?
When the assumed market premium is positive, yes: a higher beta multiplies that positive premium. If the assumed premium were zero, beta would not change the result. The relationship follows the chosen inputs rather than guaranteeing realised performance.
Keep reading
This page is educational material, not financial advice. The figures come from the formula shown and assume the inputs you enter hold for the whole term. Your own rate, fees, taxes and timing will differ, so treat the output as arithmetic to check a decision against, not as a recommendation.